Light Showers Yesterday

Showers along the foothills yesterday afternoon at 1:45 pm MST.

The ALERT network data show light amounts scattered around the network for 24-hours ending at 7:00 am this morning. Here at house light showers in afternoon produced only 0.01"; the airport had 0.03"; DM reported 0.01"; and Atmo noted 0.02".

There were no detected CG flashes anywhere in the Southwest or northern Mexico during past 24 hours.

Looking ahead: the GEFS 06 UTC plumes for the airport are flat-lined at zero through 00 UTC on 12 December.

Morning After Thanksgiving

More color this morning, November 28th, at 6:50 am MST.

Extensive, standing wave clouds downwind from the Rockies (below) at 7:00 am this morning.

Red Skies On Thanksgiving

 

Nice pre-sunrise color on Thanksgiving morning. Have a great holiday.

Heavy Rains Yesterday

View of clouds and showers over Catalinas at 3:00 pm MST yesterday afternoon.

There were numerous CG flashes detected over eastern Pima County and southeast Arizona for the 24-hours ending at 1033 UTC this morning (above plot from Atmo).

There were widespread heavy rain amounts across the ALERT Network (above and below) for the 24-hours ending 10:00 am this morning. We had 0.79" here; TUS had 0.78"; and DM had 0.83".

Quick Update

Gray and somewhat dreary skies over Tucson this morning - view above from 9:00 am MST. Showers during the day added 0.06" to the morning total here yesterday, giving us rainfall of 0.40".

The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for QPF at the airport (above) are very focused on tomorrow and tomorrow night. The POPs from same runs approach 100 percent tomorrow (below).

The current NWS morning forecast for the airport is shown in graphic at bottom.

Rainy Night And Morning

Catalinas obscured by rain and clouds at 8:30 am MST this morning.

Plot of detected CG flashes shows that were thunderstorms in our area last evening around 10 pm or so. I certainly didn't hear any thunder though.

Reports of measurable rain came in from nearly all the ALERT sites for 24-hours ending at 10 am (above and below), with a number of sites reporting half an inch or more. Here at the house we had 0.34" through 10 am.

Unsettled Rest Of Week

View toward Rincons just before sunrise this morning.

GEFS plumes for QPF at airport (above) indicate several periods of showers through the weekend. Note that the operational GFS is a strong outlier. Plumes for POPs at airport (below) indicated showers this early am which didn't materialize, and very high POPs tonight into tomorrow morning.

Current morning forecast (above) from NWS for the airport through Thursday, with highest POPs for tonight. The GFS long range forecast of total precipitation (below - through Sunday at 5:00 pm MST) indicates heavy amounts for much of Arizona.